Buster Hein is a freelance writer who lives in Phoenix, Arizona. Twitter: @bst3r.
Crystal Baller: Biggest winners and losers in the iPhone rumor game
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3 responses to “Crystal Baller: Biggest winners and losers in the iPhone rumor game”
OK.. TUAW’s Chris Rawson has a great article on analysts and their accuracy.. He has been trying to track each and every prediction from beginning of the year.. Below is some of what he found.
Out of 189 total rumors, a consolidated total of 96 received points for being correct. That’s just barely better odds than flipping a coin. Seems appropriate.
– Digitimes’ accuracy record was 0%. Shocker.
– Analysts other than Ming-Chi Kuo scored 30%. This was way higher than I expected, but still nowhere near high enough to justify the amount of attention they’re given.
– “Accurate” Ming-Chi Kuo’s record was 44%. And that was after being generous.
Glowing Apple logo in a phone would be a waste of a precious power resource. That was silly, and not just on hindsight.