Apple could sell 80 million iPhone 6 units by the end of 2014

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The iPhone 6 is undoubtedly one of the year’s most eagerly anticipated gadgets, but how does this translate into actual sales?

Crunching the numbers, Taiwan’s Topology Research Institute predicts that the iPhone 6 will sell around 80 million units by the end of 2014. With most sources suggesting that Apple plans to release both a 4.7-inch and 5.5-inch iPhone 6, these devices will likely be going on sale in September — meaning that Apple would be selling an average of 20 million iPhone 6 devices per month, for the final four months of the year.

Interestingly, the breakdown of these numbers suggest that the 4.7-inch iPhone 6 will be far and away Apple’s biggest seller: accounting for 70 million of the 80 million projected sales. TRI meanwhile predicts that the 5.5-inch “phablet” iPhone 6 will sell between 8 and 10 million units during that same timeframe.

While this might seem somewhat lopsided given the fast-growing popularity of the phablet form factor, it does marry up to previous reports, suggesting that Apple is planning to manufacture 4x as many 4.7-inch iPhone 6 models as 5.5-inch ones.

What do you think of the sales figures predicted by Topology Research Institute? And which iPhone 6, if any, are you planning to buy later this year? Leave us your comments in the box below.

  • Andy Shorrock

    Far as I’m concerned, they’ve sold at least 1 already, a 5.5″ to me for certain :)

  • CelestialTerrestrial

    Better find out if they can even make that many first. Last I heard, Apple can only make 500,000 iPhones a day. That’s 90 Million units if the factories were operating 24/7 for 6 months. Which means they have to be making them at that run rate starting like today. I doubt they can even make that many since they have other models to make. My prediction is they might not be able to make any more than maybe 60 Million units because of all of the other models they have to make, plus it’s getting all of the parts from their suppliers as well.

    Sorry, 80 Million iPhones 6’s sold within 6 months? I don’t see it how they can make that many, so they might have that many in orders, but I don’t know if they’ll be able to actually ship that many.

    I don’t think there will be a demand issue, I think it’ll be more of a production issue just like the last several years when they release a new product.

  • AAPL_@_$101_Is_A_Done_Deal_:)

    I’ll bet that 80 million unit number is already baked into Apple’s share price like everything else is. If Apple doesn’t make that number the share price will drop. I don’t know if they can sell 80 million units but 50 to 60 million would seem doable as long as they don’t have any supply problems or assembly glitches.

    Anyway, as another commenter already said that it seems unlikely Apple can turn out iPhones that quickly. However, it does seem that if Apple designs iPhones for simpler assembly they can assemble them somewhat faster. Those plastic back Android smartphones will always have an assembly speed advantage. Just look at the iPhone case interior with all those many CNC milling cuts. It looks as though they’re using a quarter inch and smaller milling cutters to finish the interior with numerous passes and starting from a solid block of aluminum. That’s insane time consumption. Wall Street seriously does not value the time and effort that goes into an iPhone and that is really a shame. Samsung and most other Android manufacturers are smart to build smartphones that are easily assembled in a flash so they can flood the market with devices, no waiting.

  • Brian Voll

    I really hope the screen is curved like in that mockup picture. It’ll give the whole phone this pod-like modern look. Could be easier to hold too (or drop?)

  • Amit SaMy

    Can’t wait to see the 5.5 inches model!
    One thing is sure that the iPhone 6 will break all iPhone records since 2007!
    Also with large screens plus all the new apps ( health, home automation, etc ), there will be many switchers this time.

    As for me who has been using iPhone 3GS, iPhone 4, iPhone 4S, iPhone 5 and iPhone 5S, will wait for Apple new artefact with iOS 8.

About the author

Luke DormehlLuke Dormehl is a UK-based journalist and author, with a background working in documentary film for Channel 4 and the BBC. He is the author of The Formula: How Algorithms Solve All Our Problems, And Create More and The Apple Revolution, both published by Penguin/Random House. His tech writing has also appeared in Wired, Fast Company, Techmeme, and other publications. He'd like you a lot if you followed him on Twitter.

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