Analyst: RIM Under ‘Sizeable Threat’ By iPhone, Android

Analyst: RIM Under ‘Sizeable Threat’ By iPhone, Android

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Once upon a time, BlackBerry-maker Research in Motion could count on its corporate customers as a stable source of revenue. Not so much now, as the iPhone and Android-based handsets invade the once safe inner sanctum of big business. That change is so drastic, one analyst warns that RIM is “under a sizeable threat.”

Bernstein Research analyst Pierre Farragu Tuesday cut his target price for RIM stock to $40, down from $55 and reduced his earnings per share expectations for 2011 and 2012. This after Farragu found 200 U.K. and U.S. companies held “a scary outlook” for RIM’s corporate customer base.

Corporate growth of mobile e-mail is likely to be limited to small and medium-sized enterprises, an area “in which RIMM is likely to suffer the most from competition,” he writes. What’s prompting such concern? Nearly three-quarters of companies using mobile e-mail are using RIM alternatives, such as the iPhone or Android.

“We expect these companies to progressively ramp up the installed base of non-Blackberry solutions and therefore expect increased pressure on RIM’s performance,” the analyst writes.

Unlike previous years, when IT departments embraced the Blackberry for being secure and looked warily at outsiders, such as Apple, today companies are being overwhelmed by employees wanting to use their consumer phone also at work. “The issue boils down to cost and consumer preferences: employees want to be able to use their own phone, and allowing them to do so presents IT and telecom managers with a way to substantially cu their operating costs,” the analyst said.

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Ed Sutherland

Ed Sutherland is a veteran technology journalist who first heard of Apple when they grew on trees, Yahoo was run out of a Stanford dorm and Google was an unknown upstart. Since then, Sutherland has covered the whole technology landscape, concentrating on tracking the trends and figuring out the finances of large (and small) technology companies.

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  • John

    Rimm need to either really get with the program and make their handsets and OS better, or release the RIM client for more OS’s. Otherwise they will basically become irrelevant. I don’t think anyone I know actually wants a RIM phone, but they really like the PDA integration.
    iPhone and Windows mobile can do Active Sync, and do it pretty much out of the box on existing Exchange 2007 or better servers (infact iOS 4, allowing multiple exchange accounts is a godsend. The first time I haven’t had to decide whether my phone is setup for work or personal use. Now it can do both, so i have been able to ditch my horrible windows work phone, and just keep the iPhone.