Apple Will Overtake HP As The Biggest PC Maker On Earth With Some Help From The iPad 3 [Analyst]

Apple Will Overtake HP As The Biggest PC Maker On Earth With Some Help From The iPad 3 [Analyst]

Photo by LuMag00 - http://flic.kr/p/8RneUy

The folks at Canlys this morning are doing what analysts are fond of: playing the ‘if’ game. If iPads were included in the same category as computers, Apple might soon overtake HP as the world’s largest PC maker — particularly if the Cupertino, Calif. company launches the iPad 3, anticipated by many to be a 2012 release. Canalys, which does count tablets as PCs, expects Apple to pass HP before mid-2012.

Although a stretch, the scenario would leap frog Apple from its current five percent worldwide share via incredible Mac sales to triple that figure by calculating tablet growth that some expect could hit 130 percent during the holidays. The analyst firm projected earlier this month that Apple had 15 percent of the computer market, just 1 percent behind leader HP… if you count the iPad.

Even if tablets were not counted as PCs, that projection may not be too far off the market. The firm predicts 2011 PC sales will increase 15 percent to 415 million units – more than half of those notebook computers, an area Apple has under lock and key.

Still, all is not certain for Apple, particularly with the introduction of the $199 Kindle Fire and Barnes & Noble’s Nook tablets. “iPad shipments in [Apple's] core market — the United States — are likely to come under pressure in Q4 due to the launch of the Fire and Nook at extremely competitive price points,” writes Canalys analyst Tim Coulling.

The rival tablets could perhaps be most damaging to the Android-powered tablets, which some reports suggest could be left on shelves due to low pricing.

But all of this rests on tablets taking on some of the tasks now accomplished by desktop and notebook computers. Despite the chatter of their wide utility in the field for reading manuals and replacing some mobile tasks, tablets remain largely a consumption device. Personally, I’m a huge tablet fan, watching videos, playing games, reading emails, surfing the Internet and more. But when I need to produce: write, manipulate images, and such, I turn to my desktop iMac. As we saw last week, the Cupertino, Calif. tech giant is beating the pants off the PC industry with huge demand for the Mac. Apple doesn’t need any favors to boost its PC sales.

What do you think? Is a tablet a PC, or is it, as Steve Jobs saw it, a device that sits between your phone and your PC? Let us know your thoughts in the comments.

  • RandyG

    What does this matter in a “post PC world” ? 

  • sir1jaguar

    iPad as PC. HOW COME?

    I taught it’s half ass tablet with applications floating around the screen….

  • sir1jaguar

    Every single human being I know… If they will say – I’ll buy a personal computer, they pertaining it to laptop and desktop…

    APPLE can call their creation anything they want – then people will just believe…

    What a pathetic world we live in if we always believe to APPLE…

  • sir1jaguar

    Even a GALAXY NEXUS can do more than an iPad with all of the features it have now (with barometer) but I NEVER call it a pc…

    Even the coming ASUS transformer prime that has dock with built in battery and quadcore processor, I’m not calling it PC…

    But the half ass iPad with no customization and have just floating applications on the screen, but this survey company call it PC is literally stupid…

    But imoron and istupid will believe…

  • Zvivek

    What the heck are you doing in appleinsider? Apple never called ipad a pc. then why do you criticize apple?

  • Daniel Myasnikov

    I think even calculator can do a better (I mean not buggy) job than iMac and miniMac all together, but I call it Sirtaki

About the author

Ed SutherlandEd Sutherland is a veteran technology journalist who first heard of Apple when they grew on trees, Yahoo was run out of a Stanford dorm and Google was an unknown upstart. Since then, Sutherland has covered the whole technology landscape, concentrating on tracking the trends and figuring out the finances of large (and small) technology companies.

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