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Why ‘Evidence’ Won’t Help You Predict Apple Products

Why ‘Evidence’ Won’t Help You Predict Apple Products

Speculating about future Apple products is really hard to do well. That doesn’t keep everyone from trying. Even grizzled Apple-watching veterans often fail catastrophically with each new Apple announcement.

The reason it’s difficult is that “evidence,” which would normally be the best tool for predicting things, doesn’t work in Apple’s case.

The best criteria are strategic and cultural analyses. But even these are not perfectly reliable.

If you’ve struggled to accurately guess in the past what Apple will announce, don’t feel bad. Even Apple executives themselves don’t know until often very late in the game.

Here’s why predicting Apple products is so hard.

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Bang & Olufsen V1 Is A Television Made For the Apple TV

Beoplay v1

Bang & Olufsen's new V1 television.

At last, here’s the Apple TV everyone is waiting for. Well, kinda. Bang & Olufsen’s new V1 is a 32 or 40-inch 1080p TV with a hole in the back where you can hide your little puck-sized Apple TV. This, combined with a remote that can be used to control Apple’s set-top box, means that the V1 is the closest you’ll get to an actual HDTV from Apple.

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New Yorkers Can Stream Live TV To Their iPads With Aereo

New Yorkers Can Stream Live TV To Their iPads With Aereo

Each Aereo customer is assigned their own tiny antenna

Aereo is a great service for denizens of New York City. For $12 per month, you get to stream local live TV direct to your iPad, iPhone, Roku box, Apple TV, or just about anything with an internet connection. It’s simple, it does nothing but relay the free-to-air channels already available to any New Yorker, and of course the TV companies are already trying to shut it down.

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AirServer Video Mirroring Blows Away Laggy New Apple TV

The video above is probably enough to make iPad 3 owners rush out and buy a copy of AirServer for your big-screen Mac. It shows the difference in the speed of video mirroring natively to the the Apple TV 3 and mirroring to the Mac using AirServer. The first is dreadfully laggy. The second is like playing with a wired controller. But that’s not all: The newest version of AirServer processes the video before displaying it, making for much better results on the big screen.

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Porthole Streams Mac Audio Over AirPlay

Porthole Streams Mac Audio Over AirPlay

Stream any audio from your Mac to your AirPlay speakers, not just iTunes

Porthole is a Mac app which will stream all the audio coming from your computer to AirPlay speakers, instead of just the music from iTunes. It’s kind of like Rogue Amoeba’s excellent AirFoil, only much less fine-grained in terms of control.

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New Apple TV Doubles RAM And Sticks With 8GB Storage

New Apple TV Doubles RAM And Sticks With 8GB Storage

This is what we like to see: Geeks ripping open their own gear and posting the photos to prove it

The new Apple TV has been opened up to reveal the same old 8GB of storage, along with 512MB RAM — double that of the previous generation Apple TV. XBMC forum member aicjofs got bored one day and decided to rip open his own Apple TV to see what was inside — a nerd after our own hearts.

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Apple TV Packs Custom A5 Chip

Apple TV Packs Custom A5 Chip

The new Apple TV gets its own custom chip

Tim Cook kind of rushed past the Apple TV update yesterday. On the surface of things, not much changed: 1080p was the only real new feature, as the new iOS-like interface and Netflix sign-up are also available on older Apple TVs via update. But under the hood, the little black box is powered by a custom single-core A5 chip.

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AirServer Mirrors iPad Screen On Your Mac

AirServer Mirrors iPad Screen On Your Mac

Stream any screen or app by double-tapping the home button and swiping right

With an update to v4.0, the Mac AirPlay server AirServer has gotten the ability to mirror the display of your iPad on your big-screen Mac. This is pretty big, as you can now not only send video and music to your Mac as you could before, but you can make presentations and even play games, wirelessly.

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Get AirPlay On Your Mac Right Now With AirParrot, AirServer

Get AirPlay On Your Mac Right Now With AirParrot, AirServer

AirServer, along with the new AirParrot app, brings Mountain Lion's AirPlay to your current Mac

One of the big new Mountain Lion features is AirPlay Mirroring. This will let you beam your Mac’s desktop, videos and Keynote presentations to any screen connected to the Apple TV. This feature alone will probably sell zillions of Apple TVs into conference rooms the world over. But who wants to wait until OS X 10.8’s summer launch? With a couple of apps, you can use AirPlay on your Mac right now.

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This Ex-Apple Engineer Is “Building A TV Station” With His New iPad App

This Ex-Apple Engineer Is “Building A TV Station” With His New iPad App

Thomas Pun demos Nowbox at SF New Tech. @cultofmac

Nowbox is a slick iPad app that allows you to waste spend many hours watching YouTube.

Nowbox was co-founded by Thomas Pun, who worked at Apple for six years, including stints as technical manager for the team responsible for the H.264 encoder technologies that shipped with QuickTime 7 and on the first video iPod.

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